Can Regional Integration Accelerate Development in Africa? CGE Model Simulations of the Impact of the SADC FTA on the Republic of Madagascar; Jean-Jacques Hallaertdler; IMF Working Paper 07/66; March 1, 2007
نویسندگان
چکیده
This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate. Madagascar plans to start phasing out its customs tariffs on imports from the Southern African Development Community in 2007. This paper uses a CGE model to evaluate the impact of the SADC FTA on Madagascar economy. The results suggest that the SADC FTA would only have a limited impact on Madagascar’s real GDP because the liberalization affects only a small share of its total imports. However, Madagascar’s trade and production pattern would change and benefit the textile and clothing sector. Removing rigidities in the labor and capital market would increase the gains but they would remain limited. Gains from the SADC FTA become substantial only when the regional liberalization is accompanied by a multilateral liberalization. JEL Classification Numbers: F13, F14, F15, F17
منابع مشابه
The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility and Inflationary Regimes on the Consumer Price Index in Organization of Islamic Countries (Panel FMOLS Co-integration Approach)
Aguerre, R.B., Fuertes, A. M. and Phylaktis, K. (2012), "Exchange Rate Pass-through into Import Prices Revisited", Journal of International Money, 31: 818-844. Bailliu, J. & Fujii, E. (2004). "Exchange Rate Pass-Through and the Inflation Environment in Industrialized Countries: An Empirical Investigation", Bank of Canada Working Paper No. 21. Carlsson, M., Lyhagen, J., and Österholm, P. (2007)...
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